{"id":2988,"date":"2010-09-06T10:27:15","date_gmt":"2010-09-06T04:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bhagwad.com\/blog\/?p=2988"},"modified":"2010-09-11T04:45:23","modified_gmt":"2010-09-10T23:15:23","slug":"climate-change-the-arrogance-of-skepticism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bhagwad.com\/blog\/2010\/environment\/climate-change\/climate-change-the-arrogance-of-skepticism.html\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate Change &#8211; The Arrogance of Skepticism"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It seems as if everyone is making up their own minds about climate change these days. I&#8217;ve lost count of the number of times someone comes up with facts &#8220;disproving&#8221; any number of concepts &#8211; either the climate is <em>not<\/em> changing, or else the change isn&#8217;t caused by humans. Or it <em>is<\/em> caused by humans, but it&#8217;s not significant. Or it <em>is<\/em> significant, but it doesn&#8217;t matter cause more CO2 is good for the planet.<\/p>\n<p>Often these people take a certain pride in defiantly stating that they&#8217;ve &#8220;made up their own minds&#8221; and haven&#8217;t bought in to the corporate scam\/misinformation campaign that everyone <em>else<\/em> has fallen for. And while I don&#8217;t disagree about the importance of using one&#8217;s mind, this sort of Ayn Randish &#8220;Oh I&#8217;m such a stud independent person&#8221; mindset is faintly nauseating. Because in plain fact, very often &#8220;finding out the facts for yourself&#8221; and making up your own mind <em>isn&#8217;t<\/em> a good idea. It fact, it&#8217;s downright foolish.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_2990\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2990\" style=\"width: 240px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2990\" title=\"&quot;Making up your own mind&quot; isn't a luxury we can afford\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bhagwad.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Climate-change-arrogance.jpg\" alt=\"&quot;Making up your own mind&quot; isn't a luxury we can afford\" width=\"250\" height=\"234\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bhagwad.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Climate-change-arrogance.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.bhagwad.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Climate-change-arrogance-150x140.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-2990\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">&quot;Making up your own mind&quot; isn&#39;t a luxury we can afford<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>We live in an age of specialization. Gone are the days of Gauss when a single person could know everything about every field of scientific and mathematic endeavor. Even the most common devices today &#8211; like cell phones &#8211; are so mind bogglingly complex, that I can state with confidence there&#8217;s not a <em>single person on earth<\/em> who knows everything about how they work, including the chip design, electronics and the software stacks and protocols they implement.<\/p>\n<p>And yet none of us hesitate for even a moment before entrusting our lives to an airplane &#8211; the workings of which are pretty much mysterious to most of us. We can use fancy words like &#8220;aerodynamics&#8221; to pretend that we know something, but we don&#8217;t. We don&#8217;t know the first thing about aircrafts. We don&#8217;t stop to &#8220;make up our own mind&#8221; about it.<\/p>\n<p>I graduated from St. Stephen&#8217;s with a B.Sc (G) in physics. I can confidently state that my understanding of the subject is superior to the vast majority of humanity. But even <em>I<\/em> can&#8217;t prove something like the General Theory of Relativity. The mathematics is too complex for me. And yet every educated person knows about this famous theory (some even know what it means!) and people don&#8217;t doubt it&#8217;s validity or usefulness. If I were to bet my life on the theory being accurate or inaccurate, I would choose the former without a moment&#8217;s hesitation. So would everyone else.\u00a0How come? Why doesn&#8217;t everyone try and &#8220;make up their own minds&#8221; about it?<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve played chess for a long time and a few years back, I achieved an ELO rating of around 2000-2100. It&#8217;s quite a decent rating, but not master level. Many times I&#8217;ve tried to follow a game between Grandmasters and have been totally perplexed as to why a particular move was played. And yet in the post analysis, most GMs will agree that a certain move is the correct one though for the life of me I can&#8217;t figure out why. But I believe them! I realize my limitations. I don&#8217;t go around making a fool of myself by saying &#8220;But if you do that, you&#8217;re putting your queen in danger!&#8221; I have enough intelligence to know that they would see what I see &#8211; and much more. I don&#8217;t try and &#8220;find out the truth&#8221; for myself. Not unless I spend many more years forging my skills and proving myself in battle.<\/p>\n<p>There are many more examples I could give where it makes infinitely more sense to listen to competent minds instead of torturing oneself by trying to figure out the truth &#8211; with a very high probability that you&#8217;ll reach a wrong conclusion anyway. This doesn&#8217;t mean you&#8217;re giving up your intelligence or sacrificing your integrity. Quite the contrary. It means you&#8217;re using all facets of your intelligence to draw conclusions which a brute force method could never reach. It means you use your powers of observation to know your limitations and choose which battles to fight. It&#8217;s a more efficient way of gathering knowledge with a higher chance of success.<\/p>\n<p>But when it comes to <em>Climate Change<\/em>, suddenly everyone wants to &#8220;make up their own mind.&#8221; And facts are there in plenty to pick and choose from &#8211; enough to support <em>any<\/em> given view! Never mind that <a href=\"http:\/\/green.blogs.nytimes.com\/2010\/06\/22\/evidence-for-a-consensus-on-climate-change\/\">98% of the most active scientists in the field accept the evidence for human induced climate change<\/a>. These scientists are from all over the world, from multi disciplinary backgrounds, and working for different organizations and governments. To say it&#8217;s unlikey they&#8217;re all wrong is an understatement. A skeptic will have to somehow convince me that they&#8217;ve all been deceived and that <em>their<\/em> analysis from a layman&#8217;s point of view is more valid.<\/p>\n<p>Good luck with that. So let&#8217;s just stop this nonsense shall we? Enough is enough. It&#8217;s time for people to stop trying to figure out the truth of climate change for themselves and use their intelligence in a more creative manner. It&#8217;s time to use <em>other people&#8217;s knowledge<\/em> to fill the gaps in one&#8217;s own. It&#8217;s time to stop trying to reinvent the wheel. Because it&#8217;s counterproductive, and a waste of my time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why you shouldn&#8217;t try to &#8220;find out the truth about Climate Change&#8221; for yourself. There are much better ways to use one&#8217;s intelligence.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2990,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-change"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Climate Change - The Arrogance of Skepticism<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Why you shouldn&#039;t try to &quot;find out the truth about Climate Change&quot; for yourself. 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